0xc35e24441adb1ed475a86332039feb9109359f4c
0xc35e24441adb1ed475a86332039feb9109359f4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-868.33
Realised
$-69.40
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
13035 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.07
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11466 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-455.99
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
8690 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.07
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
543 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
451 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
88 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.60
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?
76 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-24.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-27.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET
49 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.15
- YES
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$313.02Jun 19, 19:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.73Jun 18, 17:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $32.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 21:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.