Organic-Residue
0xc3638f7e9d02b54da6c6daeee9a244ba9f29c2fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.30
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Denise Long be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$1.30Feb 25, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025?$1.53Feb 4, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in November 2025?$1.52Dec 5, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.32Nov 26, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.46Nov 26, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.28Oct 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.41Jul 16, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?$1.24Apr 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?$1.24Mar 5, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$0.00Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.13Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.16Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.16Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.17Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.19Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?$0.25Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.30Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.32Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.49Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$0.60Jan 14, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $49.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.