Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$2.16

Total PnL

$-15.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

YES
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$1.09
$0.09
YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.08
$0.08
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3989 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
3989 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-998.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-998.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-998.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-998.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1995 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-997.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1995 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-997.50

Recent activity

TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$1.00Dec 6, 09:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Nov 25, 09:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$8.0KNov 25, 09:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$20.00Nov 25, 09:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.00Nov 25, 09:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$39.50Nov 25, 09:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$50.00Nov 25, 09:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$27.11Nov 25, 09:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.43Nov 25, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.00Nov 25, 09:13 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity31 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry87 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk75 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 17
Avg trade size: $704.03
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 25, 07:50 UTC
Last active: Dec 6, 09:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:43:42 UTC·src:Polymarket Data