Sticky-Pennant
0xc36ab128b98704388bc4291ff3561556af9abb3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$38.46
Total PnL
$-209.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
693 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.46
$-3.55
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
3715 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16?
854 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 18?
835 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 19?
620 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 20?
541 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?
473 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 18?
393 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?$11.85Jul 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?$9.43Jul 2, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.51Jul 2, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.10Jul 2, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.06Jul 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.00Jun 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 19?$12.92Jun 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 18?$21.33Jun 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17?$14.14Jun 16, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 18?$21.37Jun 16, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 19?$2.13Jun 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 20?$21.35Jun 16, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16?$7.28Jun 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16?$10.65Jun 15, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on June 9?$0.00Jun 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14?$0.00Jun 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14?$0.00Jun 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?$9.60Jun 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14?$15.98Jun 12, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $14.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.