0xc36c45590dfb18f03598b41498f9b5de070ddc3a
0xc36c45590dfb18f03598b41498f9b5de070ddc3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$1.31
Total PnL
$-71.85
Realised
$27.76
Win rate
68%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 19?
177 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?
11 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.20
$-0.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 19?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 19?
77 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.04
$-2.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 19?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?
186 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 17?
167 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 17?
149 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 17?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?$0.17Jun 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.24Jun 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.97Jun 19, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.06Jun 19, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?$0.50Jun 19, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?$0.50Jun 19, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?$0.50Jun 19, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?$1.00Jun 19, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.06Jun 19, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.06Jun 19, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.32Jun 19, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.03Jun 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.06Jun 19, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.30Jun 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?$0.18Jun 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?$1.67Jun 19, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?$0.21Jun 19, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?$0.06Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?$0.15Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 19?$0.99Jun 18, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
78/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
31 closed markets, 68% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.