Likely-Plea
0xc370031405dfcf03be4164ee27a1810b0d3d66f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-39.67
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
280 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 7?
133 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
16 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
11 shares @ 97.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
8 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.00Jun 2, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.02Jun 2, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.02Jun 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Jun 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00Jun 2, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00Jun 2, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.01May 28, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.01May 28, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.02May 28, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00May 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00May 23, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.00May 22, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.04May 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00May 22, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.01May 22, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.04May 22, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00May 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00May 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.00May 21, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.01May 21, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".