Mild-Visual
0xc376688c6cb2d48120160de6a820ce0fd0321c60
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$33.61
Total PnL
$-24.35
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
34 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$33.61
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
30 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- OVER
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 15?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 18?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?
10 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$33.68Aug 16, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$33.00Aug 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$32.37Aug 5, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$29.99Aug 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$29.76Jul 25, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$30.00Jul 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$29.63Jul 15, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$30.00Jul 14, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$29.83Jul 11, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$30.00Jul 10, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$29.69Jul 1, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 30, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$29.20Jun 25, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$30.00Jun 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$29.80Jun 17, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$30.00Jun 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$29.60Jun 11, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$29.99Jun 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.63Jun 4, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $18.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.