Failing-Part
0xc3774508d2b4f93e36b0a3694841c73f26e5d740
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$86.09
Total PnL
$-12.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?
86 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$86.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 1?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 9?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 9?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 6-12?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or below on October 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$86.01May 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?$86.09May 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?$86.01May 23, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$86.09May 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$86.01May 17, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$86.09May 17, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$86.01May 12, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$86.09May 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$86.01May 7, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?$86.09May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?$86.01May 3, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$86.08May 3, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$86.00Apr 26, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22?$86.16Apr 26, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22?$86.00Apr 22, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$86.08Apr 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$86.00Apr 17, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 10?$86.08Apr 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 10?$86.00Apr 9, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$85.08Apr 9, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $82.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".