Spotted-Termination
0xc38904e5da4c2e962e2a3c72511bfdddaa42d228
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$68.14
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1400 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-166.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
1193 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-391.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
970 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-320.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
966 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-318.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
903 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-297.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
883 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-291.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
869 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-286.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
644 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-341.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
641 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-391.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
640 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-245.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$17.00Jul 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$10.82Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$29.00Jul 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$10.19Jul 28, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$10.32Jul 28, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$16.00Jul 28, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$10.81Jul 28, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$13.00Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$10.67Jul 28, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.66Jul 28, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.35Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$13.00Jul 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.92Jul 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.40Jul 28, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$7.91Jul 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.65Jul 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$4.17Jul 28, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$19.00Jul 28, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$10.59Jul 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$108.72Jul 28, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $14.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.