Distinct-Fate
0xc38b102e12ef84f362e32589da444925291effcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?
70 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-19.10
- YES
Will Switzerland win the UEFA Women's Euro?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
40 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
- YES
Discord IPO in 2025?
30 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on August 7?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on August 16?
20 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.30
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will JD Vance say Patriot/Hero 4+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on August 11?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on August 15?
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$4.50Oct 29, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.00Sep 23, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.80Sep 23, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$5.00Sep 19, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$2.60Sep 19, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$10.00Sep 19, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$2.50Sep 16, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.75Sep 15, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?$6.20Sep 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$6.00Sep 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say Patriot/Hero 4+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15?$3.90Sep 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.75Sep 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$0.01Sep 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$1.50Sep 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$11.70Sep 14, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO in 2025?$9.60Sep 14, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.00Sep 14, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.00Sep 14, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$1.80Sep 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?$5.60Sep 14, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.