Barren-Intelligence
0xc38d28617c38f01fec4784714a0867a32db89b3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-48.46
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1PM ET
1500 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-374.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10PM ET
1208 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-532.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-880.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3AM ET
700 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-594.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10PM ET
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2AM ET
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-74.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.0KNov 5, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.3KOct 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.03Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$81.40Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$48.10Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$107.89Oct 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$847.55Oct 30, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$402.38Oct 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.8KOct 26, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.8KOct 22, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by October 31?$2.8KOct 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$218.03Oct 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$2.4KOct 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.6KOct 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.4KOct 3, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET$1.54Oct 3, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET$9.00Oct 3, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET$0.90Oct 3, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET$2.25Oct 3, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET$18.00Oct 3, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $458.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.