Knobby-Backyard
0xc38f8fcdc0fb6c6fbbbaf8fb89ad1a76642a3e2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$89.26
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
44 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.15
$-0.01
- NO
Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.07
$-0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 3?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.40
$0.01
- NO
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.19
$-0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.92
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.73
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.70
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 3?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.50
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.35Jun 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$2.72Jun 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?$1.10Jun 3, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.07Jun 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.19Jun 3, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.92Jun 3, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 3?$1.27Jun 3, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 3?$1.25Jun 3, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 3?$7.39Jun 3, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 3?$1.49Jun 3, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 3?$1.64Jun 3, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.