Slight-Breadcrumb-Scow
0xc3978992e5fddae790aacb531b963168edf96a52
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-175.77
Realised
$-4.88
Win rate
0%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will anyone say "Sword" during House of the Dragon E8 S3?
131 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.38
- NO
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 10?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- BC.GAME ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins
33 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UNITY ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: JAM vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffs
29 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
26 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- NO
Will anyone say "King" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E8 S3?
26 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
18 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
17 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Arctic Pandas vs Brod n Friends (BO3) - NLC Regular Season$0.00Aug 11, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)$0.00Aug 11, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Blood in Game 1?$0.00Aug 11, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: NPC Team vs Olimpo Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event Playoffs$0.00Aug 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$5.10Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$4.08Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.07Aug 11, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 10?$5.18Aug 10, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Aug 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.36Aug 10, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$14.93Aug 10, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$10.23Aug 10, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.43Aug 10, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.19Aug 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: NPC Team vs Olimpo Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event Playoffs$16.46Aug 10, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.56Aug 10, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.