Polished-Syrup-Keeper
0xc39ab8b7062afb287cd6542020e7212a40f369b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$742.49
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-153.56
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
125 shares @ 48.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$124.37
$64.38
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
120 shares @ 66.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$116.02
$36.02
- NO
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$115.84
$15.85
- BENOÎT SAINT DENIS
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
180 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$96.30
$-4.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
91 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$90.45
$30.45
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
75 shares @ 79.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$72.90
$12.90
- UNDER
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
110 shares @ 45.2¢·now 61.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$67.81
$17.81
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
75 shares @ 40.2¢·now 40.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$30.00
$0.00
- NO
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
43 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$28.78
$-0.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
297 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.12Jul 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.48Jul 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.48Jul 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.48Jul 12, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.73Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.73Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$20.73Jul 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$29.48Jul 12, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.51Jul 12, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.54Jul 12, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.56Jul 12, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.26Jul 12, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.28Jul 12, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$20.31Jul 12, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$30.90Jul 12, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina leading at halftime?$72.89Jul 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$14.68Jul 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$20.43Jul 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$20.56Jul 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$20.58Jul 12, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $28.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.