Finished-Bump
0xc3a0f7672a73d68ae7ab0b9c65ab44d345ab9985
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$14.41
Total PnL
$-48.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$5.62
$0.02
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.57
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$0.06
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 8?
3257 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?
2198 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 7?
1095 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?
1085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 23?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.60Jul 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$5.56Jun 26, 07:18 UTC
- REWARD$0.79Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.89Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 31?$2.18Jun 1, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 23?$2.16May 24, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?$2.11May 15, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?$0.01May 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?$2.14May 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$2.17May 7, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3?$2.13May 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?$2.20May 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?$2.20May 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 30?$2.12Apr 30, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on April 20?$2.13Apr 20, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?$1.1KApr 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?$1.1KApr 17, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?$1.1KApr 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?$1.1KApr 16, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?$1.1KApr 16, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $314.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.