Cumbersome-Intelligence
0xc3a6b47987dfa6e198589f440fc85a93daabdc57
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
2274 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
1236 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
1044 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
807 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
604 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- PISTONS
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
417 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?
257 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
229 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-98.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
221 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-98.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
210 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-98.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5$509.43May 31, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5$273.81May 30, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$200.00May 29, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$101.50May 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$162.30May 25, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$162.21May 25, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$307.69May 25, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$162.30May 24, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$18.68May 23, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$202.88May 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5$101.50May 21, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$25.84May 20, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-4.5)$203.12May 13, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5$408.16May 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5$203.06May 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$50.00Mar 11, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$82.28Mar 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$30.00Mar 11, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$110.27Mar 11, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$50.00Mar 11, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $81.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".