Flimsy-Toothpick
0xc3a7d3638221d69d15beb8736eda053104cfe987
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$159.37
Total PnL
$-0.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on April 21?
59 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$59.16
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on April 13?
56 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$56.05
$0.06
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
44 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.16
$0.15
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on April 21?$59.00Apr 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on April 13?$56.00Apr 11, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on April 5?$75.07Apr 5, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on April 5?$75.00Apr 4, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$46.09Apr 1, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on April 1?$52.05Apr 1, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on April 1?$52.00Mar 31, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 27?$53.05Mar 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 27?$53.00Mar 26, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 24?$40.04Mar 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 24?$40.00Mar 24, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 24?$54.05Mar 24, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 24?$54.00Mar 22, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 22?$58.06Mar 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 22?$58.00Mar 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$44.00Mar 20, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?$48.31Mar 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$46.00Mar 17, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on March 17?$61.06Mar 17, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 17?$65.06Mar 17, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $48.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".