Ajar-Prevalence
0xc3a8204953e67ef7fda3fa07af7b82fc86c958d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$66.14
Total PnL
$-4.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- JAPAN
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- DOMINICAN REP.
First Round Pool D: Dominican Rep. vs. Netherlands
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- JAPAN
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australia
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- IDAHO STATE BENGALS
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Idaho State Bengals
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- VENEZUELA
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Israel
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$10.00Mar 8, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 8, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?$1.00Mar 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.00Mar 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 8, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$540.00Mar 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool B: USA vs. Italy$1.00Mar 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia$5.00Mar 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool D: Israel vs. Dominican Rep.$1.00Mar 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea$1.00Mar 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool D: Dominican Rep. vs. Netherlands$2.00Mar 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australia$2.00Mar 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Israel$2.00Mar 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool B: USA vs. Great Britain$1.00Mar 8, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds$1.00Mar 8, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFresno State Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes$1.00Mar 8, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorthern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Idaho State Bengals$2.00Mar 8, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Maple Leafs$1.00Mar 8, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Thunder$1.00Mar 8, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $174.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".