Burly-Transmission
0xc3aedca66d9cde5b2a24c16c4ceec12679bfd685
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-203.00
Realised
$-23.55
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
108 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 22?
80 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
75 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-72.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
69 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- DOWN
HYPE Up or Down on March 14?
51 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.10
- LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
47 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders
41 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-37.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?
41 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.35
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?
35 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-32.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 16?$0.00Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 28?$0.00Apr 10, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 12?$0.00Mar 31, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 23?$0.00Mar 30, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 28?$1.93Mar 27, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?$1.22Mar 25, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$71.89Mar 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 16?$1.39Mar 15, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 14?$68.22Mar 15, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down on March 14?$3.13Mar 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 14?$0.20Mar 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 14?$0.07Mar 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 14?$65.63Mar 13, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 13?$75.28Mar 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 13?$73.17Mar 12, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 12?$73.80Mar 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 12?$2.38Mar 12, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 12?$72.25Mar 11, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11?$75.91Mar 11, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11?$72.72Mar 10, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $28.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.