Probable-Sage
0xc3afa5d0924c9b9c145f9c916523f32c9896e293
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$7.71
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or below on May 27?$2.70May 26, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on May 27?$5.00May 26, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 33°F or below on May 21?$1.90May 26, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on May 21?$2.01May 26, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 21?$2.31May 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on May 21?$2.30May 20, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on May 21?$2.00May 20, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 33°F or below on May 21?$1.90May 20, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 10?$10.01Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$10.01Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$20.02Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 10?$25.02Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 10?$28.05Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on April 10?$10.00Apr 10, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 10?$28.00Apr 10, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 10?$25.00Apr 10, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 9?$13.01Apr 10, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 9?$13.00Apr 9, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $68.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.