Frequent-Transparency
0xc3b6a3bcafcf65102555036a57378b00fdbf1235
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$294.82
Total PnL
$-93.30
Realised
$0.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4167 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.08
$2.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
935 shares @ 10.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.19
$-9.81
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
110 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.79
$-9.40
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
38 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.68
- YES
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
211 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
41 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$69.86Jun 14, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$28.16Jun 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$3.07Jun 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$2.05Jun 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$10.25Jun 14, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$10.25Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$21.26Jun 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$5.12Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$43.58Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.22Jun 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.21Jun 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.21Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.20Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.20Jun 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.16Jun 13, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$20.10Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.