0xc3b6e941867b8e622093adcc88bc24c9a29890d3
0xc3b6e941867b8e622093adcc88bc24c9a29890d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$16.72
Total PnL
$-162.05
Realised
$10.71
Win rate
21%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$4.26
$0.15
- NO
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 62.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.31
$-0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 24?
1 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.37
$0.17
- YES
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
7 shares @ 53.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.05
$-2.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 19?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$1.03
$0.01
- NO
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 25.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.39
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
409 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?$1.00Jun 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$5.00Jun 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$1.65Jun 14, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$2.61Jun 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$2.14Jun 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$1.31Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$1.37Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?$4.09Jun 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$0.06Jun 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$1.00Jun 13, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$1.00Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.01Jun 10, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$0.00Jun 10, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$0.01Jun 10, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?$6.82Jun 8, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?$5.22Jun 8, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?$0.01Jun 8, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$0.66Jun 8, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.