0xc3d19e7913fd61f896480392afab64a67cfe803e
0xc3d19e7913fd61f896480392afab64a67cfe803e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$40.96
Total PnL
$-138.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
9 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.06
$0.13
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
7 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$0.13
- NO
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.19
$0.02
- NO
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.18
$0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.44
$0.01
- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1277 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.19
$-5.74
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.32
$0.03
- NO
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.89
$0.08
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
553 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
69 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-62.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.