Concrete-Rubric
0xc3dd23c013b663144c4ec34c076d2d62c0d24a0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$21.62
Total PnL
$-177.16
Realised
$-5.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.92
$2.92
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.29
$0.29
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.22
$0.72
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.74
$0.74
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.12
$-4.88
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
370 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.50
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?
324 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
260 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.80
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
153 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?$3.00Apr 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.50Apr 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$1.00Apr 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$1.00Apr 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$10.00Apr 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$8.42Apr 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$55.80Apr 1, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$6.00Apr 1, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?$3.00Apr 1, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$6.83Apr 1, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$12.14Apr 1, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?$15.31Apr 1, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Dec 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Dec 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Dec 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$2.50Dec 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$2.50Dec 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$1.00Dec 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro visits the U.S. by December 31?$1.00Dec 17, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".