Dutiful-Limit
0xc3e45193d37ec34b82129adfc46abff7bb415bf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$19.8K
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$-846.65
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10450 shares @ 76.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.4K
$2.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2683 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$603.68
- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
223961 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$-316.23
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
99767 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.7K
$-547.92
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34831 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$123.44
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
1200 shares @ 84.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.2K
$183.00
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
286 shares @ 86.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$188.76
$-57.20
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
949 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.87
$56.94
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
2926 shares @ 34.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$106.81
$-886.98
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
23095 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.3KJun 14, 07:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1.1KJun 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$189.91Jun 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$245.96Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$246.18Jun 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.3KJun 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$381.01Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$79.80Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$164.00Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$9.02Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$391.16Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$701.22Jun 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$233.20Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.11Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.0KJun 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$2.6KJun 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$186.19Jun 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.1KJun 12, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $735.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.