Royal-Birdbath
0xc3ebbfa24a675f03009f9935d53ab2092b08ba55
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$36.01
Total PnL
$-16.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
36 shares @ 69.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$36.01
$11.01
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will "Mention" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$6.10Jan 12, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$8.62Jan 12, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.00Jan 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mention" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?$3.00Jan 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.00Jan 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.00Jan 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?$25.00Jan 11, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25.00Jan 11, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $11.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".