Guilty-Brownie
0xc3eecf78645348b8f0ba44b77b766fe1f9a04449
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Adobe say "Semrush" during earnings call?
5500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-99.36
- NO
Will Adobe say "LLM Optimizer" during earnings call?
5490 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-54.90
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
3571 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
2617 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
2333 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?
1700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1458 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1307 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
931 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-329.73
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?
923 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-67.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.73Dec 18, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$320.00Dec 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$23.00Dec 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Prediction Market" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$1.00Dec 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.00Dec 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.00Dec 17, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.00Dec 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$50.00Dec 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?$9.80Dec 11, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?$1.40Dec 11, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?$1.40Dec 11, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?$10.05Dec 11, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on December 11?$19.00Dec 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 11?$33.00Dec 11, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?$44.00Dec 11, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$10.12Dec 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 11?$28.14Dec 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$23.98Dec 11, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$9.64Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$0.24Dec 11, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $37.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".