Decent-Sprout
0xc3f0bc4431fde6c27740c227be9eb675ceb2dd88
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$179.87
Total PnL
$-684.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
68 shares @ 73.1¢·now 80.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.83
$4.83
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2538 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2262 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.27
$-1.73
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1455 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.08
$-6.92
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
49 shares @ 20.3¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.46
$-1.54
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.86
$-2.14
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.08
$-2.92
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.