0xc3f486200961899e6f26fdc75fb7f4c5d2beced3
0xc3f486200961899e6f26fdc75fb7f4c5d2beced3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?
990 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.46
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
581 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.79
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?
565 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.59
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?
187 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
114 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?$1.35Jun 19, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?$2.34Jun 18, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?$3.30Jun 18, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?$10.79Jun 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$8.09Jun 16, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$7.55Jun 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?$8.63Jun 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$3.71Jun 16, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$14.67Jun 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?$8.59Jun 9, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?$28.34Jun 9, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$1.90Apr 10, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$0.42Apr 8, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$4.00Apr 8, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$3.00Apr 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$2.60Apr 7, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$2.00Apr 7, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$2.00Apr 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?$0.55Apr 7, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?$4.00Apr 6, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.