Perfect-Picnic
0xc3ff873a442f65dd9a55ee1bd6a83060957c9708
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$746.87
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$55.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UNDER
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
713 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$712.94
$2.50
- UNDER
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
34 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$33.93
$0.25
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
20000 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.7K
- YES
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1098 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-108.79
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video?
747 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- NO
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.86
- NO
Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?
77 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?
77 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$483.06Jul 3, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$227.38Jul 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$33.68Jul 3, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMOver $5.5M committed to the Squid public sale?$5.5KJul 3, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMOver $5M committed to the Squid public sale?$2.6KJul 3, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMOver $4M committed to the Squid public sale?$6.2KJul 3, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $5.5M committed to the Squid public sale?$5.5KJul 3, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $5M committed to the Squid public sale?$2.6KJul 3, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $4M committed to the Squid public sale?$6.2KJul 3, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Lancashire$124.42Jul 2, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Lancashire$10.41Jul 2, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Lancashire$113.79Jul 1, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$13.7KJul 1, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$459.00Jul 1, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$17.28Jul 1, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$20.1KJul 1, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.2KJul 1, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$248.40Jul 1, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$3.9KJul 1, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$15.13Jul 1, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
57%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
$20.9K · 45% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.