Long-Clasp
0xc402f427069d89f4294c7662b9ac0866ebd3714d
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-63.64
Win rate
5%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
4307 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-539.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
532 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
352 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-190.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
288 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-92.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
275 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
251 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-136.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
223 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
177 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
120 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.08Jul 19, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$7.80Jul 19, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$7.65Jul 19, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$7.70Jul 19, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$7.63Jul 19, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$7.65Jul 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$7.58Jul 19, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$7.55Jul 17, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$7.47Jul 17, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$7.58Jul 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$7.51Jul 17, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$7.45Jul 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$7.03Jul 17, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$9.59Jul 14, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$16.41Jul 14, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.13Jul 14, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.10Jul 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.06Jul 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$16.70Jul 14, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 91 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
91 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.