Thirsty-Keyboard
0xc40a4b74cfa98284eec3b010befadf428dce1f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$227.86
Total PnL
$-988.89
Realised
$-315.45
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- ALMO PLAYERS
LoL: ALMO Players vs WLGaming Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season
453 shares @ 41.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$226.50
$40.77
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.10
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 92.9¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-1.83
- YES
Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?
776 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-349.20
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
443 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-53.16
- NO
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
188 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-43.24
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
154 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-93.94
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
146 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.56
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
93 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.69
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
88 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$127.71Apr 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$234.63Apr 8, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?$23.85Apr 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?$325.35Apr 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$5.00Feb 20, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$73.35Feb 20, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ALMO Players vs WLGaming Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season$121.36Feb 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ALMO Players vs WLGaming Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season$64.37Feb 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$62.04Feb 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$540.78Feb 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$3.07Feb 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$3.29Feb 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$12.35Feb 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$607.22Feb 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$6.68Feb 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$12.03Feb 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$287.00Feb 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?$31.59Feb 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$290.50Feb 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?$36.27Feb 17, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $143.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 05:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.