0xc417751d89fc02b6375d3cd5d91c4f81f15c3ca6
0xc417751d89fc02b6375d3cd5d91c4f81f15c3ca6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-38.1K
Realised
$10.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8713 shares @ 80.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.1K
$-2.8K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
500000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
62467 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
52342 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-606.85
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
37000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
35000 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
27000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
20781 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-343.07
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
20000 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-840.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
18761 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-411.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.0KJun 6, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$0.22Jun 6, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.0KJun 6, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.6KMay 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$5.6KMay 10, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$5.4KMay 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$600.00Apr 27, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$49.12Apr 27, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.76Apr 27, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$5.83Apr 27, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.22Apr 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.32Apr 27, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.23Apr 27, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.28Apr 27, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.28Apr 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.42Apr 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.06Apr 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.45Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.42Apr 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$0.66Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $576.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.