United-Blog
0xc41b4d12d78b374b55e4562b4f3b5c9b10d77e45
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$-335.69
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
956 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-229.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
895 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-357.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
801 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-251.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
770 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-175.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
637 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-216.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
592 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-372.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
548 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-242.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
533 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-127.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
518 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-127.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
500 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-128.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$25.83May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.11May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$26.38May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$16.99May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$26.50May 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$26.24May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$105.46May 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$25.83May 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.26May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$9.51May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$30.68May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.17May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$25.38May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$79.65May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$26.15May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.24May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.30May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$26.21May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.34May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$8.46May 18, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $26.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.