Academic-Tobacco
0xc42284ec639ca7eb3417ce953d9ff3d1ec82fa3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-900.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 31, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nebraska win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ismail Haniyeh be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 15?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?$1.02Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.02Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by January 31?$2.03Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".