0xc429438403f84c4eb87199c38afd99866244bec8
0xc429438403f84c4eb87199c38afd99866244bec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$11.00
Total PnL
$-429.76
Realised
$-141.56
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- TRAIL BLAZERS
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)
11 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$11.00
$5.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2673 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-95.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
833 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
833 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
293 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
278 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
226 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$22.80Apr 7, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$208.30Apr 7, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.