Constant-Director
0xc42c8256a391db063f70f5ca44c9ef9d2f03ed82
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
31666 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-899.96
- NO
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
10000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-174.39
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
1275 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?
1147 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-607.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
1005 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-147.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
896 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET
393 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ET
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?
323 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10AM ET
198 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?$0.00Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$200.00Feb 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?$151.87Feb 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?$61.27Feb 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?$98.00Feb 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$300.00Feb 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?$100.00Feb 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?$200.00Feb 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?$60.94Feb 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$329.21Feb 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on February 17?$60.00Feb 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?$368.72Feb 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$190.00Feb 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?$300.00Feb 13, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12PM ET$100.00Feb 13, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET$100.00Feb 13, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET$100.00Feb 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10AM ET$100.00Feb 13, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $150.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.