Lovable-Galoshes
0xc42cb35176b498413a0ffbdddf2960b5670cfdd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$-17.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C or higher on April 17?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17?
16 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C or below on April 14?
7 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17?$9.90Apr 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17?$4.45Apr 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17?$9.97Apr 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 17?$4.52Apr 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 17?$4.50Apr 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C or higher on April 17?$3.00Apr 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 17?$9.70Apr 17, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16?$12.25Apr 17, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 16?$5.00Apr 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16?$5.20Apr 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 16?$4.99Apr 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16?$6.86Apr 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 16?$4.99Apr 16, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 16?$11.49Apr 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 16?$4.93Apr 16, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 15?$5.24Apr 16, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 16?$6.35Apr 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 16?$4.88Apr 15, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 15?$10.99Apr 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 15?$10.89Apr 15, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.