Capital-Need
0xc42e41395a096d04ce5eb607e250ec9cdf3e56b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-129.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
60000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.96
- YES
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
22938 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-42.83
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
11199 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-218.93
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10126 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-338.99
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7673 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-119.99
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa get more than 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7307 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-368.97
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 19% and 22% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6530 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 22% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6070 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-465.97
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3821 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-884.99
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 9.5–10m?
3706 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$40.00Dec 7, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$20.00Dec 7, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.00Dec 7, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$16.00Dec 7, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$100.00Dec 7, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$20.00Nov 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$4.00Nov 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$10.46Nov 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.00Nov 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$8.00Nov 7, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.83Nov 7, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?$6.62Nov 7, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$14.00Nov 7, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$14.03Nov 7, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$25.00Nov 7, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$200.00Nov 7, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$34.00Nov 7, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.00Nov 6, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.00Nov 6, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Nov 6, 23:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $15.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".