Extraneous-Invention
0xc42f296f927d41d6ecefdcaccba29a47339a54b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.76
Total PnL
$-3.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$4.76
$3.76
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
32 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.32
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$6.32Mar 26, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$5.03Mar 26, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Tory" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00Mar 25, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Tory" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.30Mar 25, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Abuse" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00Mar 25, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00Mar 25, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.00Mar 25, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.87Mar 24, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Mar 24, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Tory" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Mar 24, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Abuse" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Mar 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$1.00Mar 24, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?$1.00Mar 24, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$4.00Mar 24, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.