Ancient-Calorie
0xc4304c69beb8c514b4d4afd2918c18f9b3cff1d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.67
Total PnL
$-843.90
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.55
$0.01
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.45
$0.00
- NO
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.44
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$-0.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$0.00
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$0.01
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Pistons
2551 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-841.73
- YES
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.45May 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.44May 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.33May 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.34May 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.35May 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$1.20May 30, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.54May 30, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.69May 24, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.88May 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.95May 17, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$0.00May 15, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 15, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.14May 15, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.21May 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$1.30May 15, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$3.83May 15, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.28May 15, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.30May 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$3.84May 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.16May 7, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $32.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".