Knowledgeable-Party
0xc43180b371fb0e342f2e78e7fdb51b36cff63bf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.63
Realised
$3.73
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on December 25?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on January 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on January 9?
986 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on January 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on February 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or below on January 9?
282 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Empoli FC win on 2026-02-07?
280 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 15, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?$0.75Feb 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.50Feb 14, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?$1.05Feb 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$2.45Feb 14, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$2.40Feb 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$2.20Feb 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$2.15Feb 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 15?$0.45Feb 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$0.36Feb 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$1.74Feb 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$1.30Feb 14, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 15?$0.31Feb 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$0.96Feb 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$0.04Feb 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$0.18Feb 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$0.72Feb 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$0.02Feb 14, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?$0.22Feb 14, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".