Foolhardy-Loss
0xc4324920389443f68fbe5fd9906d3377ca379a34
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
4466 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-23.46
- NO
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
3936 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-19.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on November 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get between 15–18 million views on day 1?
930 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 5?
658 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MAKHMUDOV
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
514 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- YES
Will another candidate win the Irish Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
237 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$0.00Apr 12, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Apr 12, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1?$0.00Apr 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov$10.00Apr 11, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$1.00Mar 16, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$2.00Mar 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$9.74Feb 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.87Feb 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.35Feb 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.50Feb 13, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.10Feb 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.50Feb 13, 21:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".