Stale-Normal
0xc433d332d426bef5e73f2c7388a17024ea4e1cc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.95
Total PnL
$-23.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$-1.98
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?
11 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11?$1.03Jun 11, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$1.05Jun 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.04Jun 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?$5.10Jun 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$10.00Jan 24, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$5.00Jan 22, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.00Jan 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$4.00Jan 13, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.