Healthy-Statistics
0xc437f9dba893cb558a5e9c2a5668b4accbaf5772
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$46.28
Total PnL
$-174.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$23.53
$3.53
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?
23 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.75
$2.75
- NO
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
122 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
117 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
56 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?
29 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?
11 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$51.05Apr 29, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$8.36Apr 29, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$19.86Apr 29, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$19.00Apr 25, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$20.00Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$7.28Apr 21, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$100.00Apr 10, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$0.00Apr 2, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$200.00Apr 2, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$400.00Mar 22, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?$24.05Mar 20, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?$30.44Mar 20, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?$155.84Mar 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$27.27Mar 15, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?$20.00Mar 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?$100.00Mar 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?$20.00Mar 11, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?$20.00Mar 11, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Ethereum" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$0.00Mar 11, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $53.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.