Dependent-House
0xc438407f2bfb8d3a30f40041611737fd957db4f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.31
Total PnL
$-175.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-9.69
- YES
Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?
779 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
654 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?
522 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?
377 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?
206 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Macron out in 2025?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on a NATO member by October 31?$20.00Oct 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?$20.00Oct 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$24.08Oct 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$72.80Oct 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$15.00Oct 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$15.00Oct 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in October?$20.00Oct 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?$21.00Oct 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$10.00Oct 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$15.00Oct 10, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Oct 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$22.04Oct 10, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$85.96Oct 10, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$30.00Oct 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$89.00Oct 10, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by October 31, 2025?$20.00Oct 9, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$30.00Oct 9, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$92.59Oct 9, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$25.00Oct 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 4, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $30.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".