Academic-Analogy
0xc43996ce3a8df4e22a48026920baf8a96070c6a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$3.06
Total PnL
$-24.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.02Jan 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.02Jan 4, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.05Jan 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New England Patriots make the playoffs?$1.00Dec 26, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 12?$1.01Dec 26, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.03Dec 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 12, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 10, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 12?$1.00Dec 10, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 9, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots make the playoffs?$1.00Dec 8, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Dec 6, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Dec 5, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.11Dec 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Dec 4, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$1.01Dec 2, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.