Burly-Constellation
0xc446278cf9cd73a23bbea4ac3fa10dbd233ce373
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$26.88
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$26.88
$16.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
261 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-198.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
209 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
202 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
160 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
123 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-118.11
- YES
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
110 shares @ 91.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
85 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?$10.31Jul 20, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$10.90Jul 20, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$104.06Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$52.41Jul 20, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$57.47Jul 20, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$51.16Jul 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$50.45Jul 20, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$46.51Jul 20, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$40.39Jul 20, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$42.11Jul 20, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$41.24Jul 20, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$40.14Jul 20, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$40.08Jul 20, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$43.01Jul 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$40.20Jul 20, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$40.82Jul 20, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$40.11Jul 20, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$40.06Jul 20, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$43.96Jul 20, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $39.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.