Well-Lit-Cinder
0xc4478f8ac5c27e66c7b93ce760d816eef2d46c72
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 22?
192 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 16?
164 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 20?
159 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET
133 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on March 31?
107 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
106 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- YES
Will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $114 Week of March 30 2026?
102 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 29?
101 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 28?
91 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?
88 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$90.13Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$0.13Jun 1, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?$88.56May 31, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$100.62May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$3.29May 25, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$97.50May 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 22?$1.65May 21, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$93.84May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$90.74May 17, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$88.40May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$86.19May 10, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?$75.85May 2, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?$2.08Apr 27, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?$0.08Apr 25, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?$73.80Apr 25, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?$87.17Apr 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 18?$1.37Apr 18, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.35 on March 24?$0.00Apr 12, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?$84.90Apr 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$1.61Apr 5, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $30.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".