Growing-Outfit
0xc4488d7568c58c258f53e1395ba72dcf6a3c085e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$14.50
Total PnL
$-15.12
Realised
$4.94
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$-2.50
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-1.80
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 13?
7 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 11?
204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 12?
182 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 12?
118 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 12?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?
75 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2.82Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$1.47Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$0.07Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$0.21Jun 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 16:16 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$4.47Jun 13, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$1.67Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.34Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.20Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$5.00Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.76Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.45Jun 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?$0.79Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?$2.50Jun 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?$0.62Jun 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.23Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?$0.53Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 13?$1.44Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 13?$0.61Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.